Fantasy Football Trade Value Risers & Fallers: Target Bhayshul Tuten On The Cusp Of A Breakout

My family and I like to act like we’re detectives when we watch movies. Especially for thriller or mystery movies, but even in action or comedy flicks, guessing the plot or twist is like a contest for us. Whoever can put together the most clues gets bragging rights. I win because I’ve watched the most content. Experience breeds intuition. Or, said another way, sometimes you just know.

Well, we’re a month into the season, and most managers are getting the same vibe. We can’t predict the future exactly. But the last few weeks are the hints we need to leave 2025 behind and focus on what lies ahead. And given what we’ve seen, there are a few names that should be a part of trade packages as we head into Week 4.

RELATED: Fantasy Football Trade Analyzer

Risers In Fantasy Football Trade Value

Bhayshul Tuten | RB | Jaguars

It might’ve taken us a few weeks to get here, but we might be on the cusp of a Bhayshul Tuten breakout. Some folks might insist that the second-year runner is a byproduct of the Jaguars’ offense. But, at the very least, he passes the eye test to me.

Tuten has top-10 marks in rushing success rate, adj. yards after contact per attempt, and forced missed tackle rate. However, the consistency and efficiency haven’t translated to his box score. Week 3 was his first time over 15 PPR points, and that was in a blowout win. But per his game logs, Tuten has been on the field when it counted.

Tuten has maintained the lion (jaguar?) share of the overall totes and, critically, had the most snaps when Jacksonville has made it to the goal line. Plus, at least for now, Ameer Abdullah and LeQuint Allen haven’t completely taken away Tuten’s role as a receiving option. With Tuten set to play in a potential back-and-forth matchup against the Bengals, who just gave up 127 yards to Jaylen Warren, this might be your last chance to snag Tuten before his buying window closes.

Denzel Boston | WR | Browns

I was watching TNF live, and it felt like every time I turned to watch the Browns attempt a pass, Denzel Boston was on the other end of it.

On the one hand, I am worried about Deshaun Watson’s volatility as a passer when targeting the intermediate area of the field. From a down-to-down perspective, he sits around Daniel Jones and Jacoby Brissett in the success rate ranks. But if the opportunities to Boston hold, the timing and rapport should improve.

Yes, Boston’s target rates have oscillated each week, but he’s led the Browns’ WRs in air yards and end-zone looks every week. He won’t get to play against a team that just dealt away their CB1 each week, but with games against the Jets, Titans, and Saints over his next five, having him on your bench will help you through the bye weeks.

Fallers In Fantasy Football Trade Value

Saquon Barkley | RB | Eagles

I’ll admit that I’m not the strongest film evaluator. I see the game through the numbers. But when I watch Saquon Barkley, I still see him as a threat with the ball in his hands.

The more frustrating part for fantasy managers is that Barkley’s still the unquestioned RB1 for Philadelphia. He left Week 2 early with a stinger, but otherwise, he’s taken 82% and 94% of the totes when healthy. In short, it’s (mostly) not his fault. But it’s hard to see how his situation improves.

• Pass Rate Over Expectation (on early downs): -4.4% (2025, Weeks 1-3), -7.7% (2026)
• Rushing Success Rate (on early downs): 37.0%, 45.5%
• EPA per Dropback (on third down): 0.21, 0.03

No A.J. Brown. DeVonta Smith’s hamstring has him sidelined for at least one game. Dallas Goedert hasn’t played since Week 1. Oh, and their defense has allowed more than 20 points in every game. Without the same script to fall back on, we’re just hoping Barkley’s penchant for explosives can take over a game.

Emeka Egbuka | WR | Buccaneers

So, there are a couple of ways to look at Emeka Egbuka’s results. Warning: I’ll be using some light mental gymnastics to get there. But bear with me.

The glass-half-full read is that OC Zac Robinson saw how Week 1 went (a lot of intermediate play-action throws), made some adjustments for his QB (play-action rate dropped against the Browns), and got Egbuka more involved against the Vikings. In other words, he’s figuring out what works for all of his guys. But here’s the problem. It didn’t matter (to us).

Egbuka is yet to crack the Top 24. You’ll need to scroll down a bit to find Mayfield on any QB list (unless the category is sacks). Plus, now Jalon Daniels, a ’26 UDFA, is the starter. Essentially, if Weeks 1-3 were test runs, we’re back to square one. Facing the Packers’ secondary can be forgiving for opposing WRs, but without a steady role within the offense, Egbuka’s value will continue to plummet.

Let’s Make a Deal: Analyzing Fantasy Trades For Week 4

So, I wanted to add something new to the piece. We’ve got enough data to use our Fantasy Trade Analyzer tool. Going back to our risers, let’s see what it might take to acquire them. 

I used Matthew Golden as a starting point in a deal for Tuten for a couple of reasons. First, to gauge his market (this feels fair). But also to reframe my thoughts toward the rest-of-season tiers. Again, we’re assuming Tuten will, at worst, maintain his opportunity share, if not outright take over Jacksonville’s backfield. A 1-for-1 trade might not be enough. Let’s add some intrigue to the negotiations. 

I could sell myself (or hopefully someone else) on the idea that David Montgomery just needs Nico Collins to come back for the running game to work. In Week 1, Montgomery was finding rushing lanes and the end zone. Without someone to stretch the field, the playbook and his area to operate get compressed. Toss in a viable (low-end) WR3, and you’re looking at a trade that works for both managers, and you get some upside. In either case, using a tool like this will help guide us through discussing player value and how we can acquire (or deal away) our risers and fallers for the rest of the regular season.

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